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Shockwaves & Crosswinds: Markets, Wars, and Money in Motion

πŸ’₯ Today’s Top Headlines

  • Fed Chair Powell warns of β€œbumpy disinflation” ahead β†’ markets waver as rate-cut bets cool.
  • Apple unveils AI-powered iPhone 17 β†’ shares pop ~3% premarket.
  • Bitcoin tops $70,000 again β†’ driven by institutional inflows.
  • Biden announces fresh China tech export curbs β†’ hitting AI chips & semiconductor tools.
  • Tensions flare at the India-Pakistan border as clashes erupt, raising fears of wider escalation.

πŸ“ˆ Corporate Action Highlights

  • Uber β†’ Posted first-ever annual profit, powered by delivery and ads.
  • Amazon β†’ Announces 20-for-1 stock split, first in over two decades.
  • Boeing β†’ Delays 737 Max deliveries again due to supply chain snarls.
  • Meta β†’ Starts $50B buyback program, aiming to restore investor confidence.
  • Tesla β†’ Elon Musk teases $25,000 EV for 2026, stock surges 6%.

🌎 Economic Snapshot

  • US Jobs Report (April) β†’ +260k jobs added, unemployment holds at 3.8%.
  • Eurozone GDP β†’ beats estimates at 0.4% Q1 growth, easing recession fears.
  • China β†’ Services PMI at 51.2, signaling modest expansion.
  • Oil prices β†’ Dip below $80/barrel as demand concerns outweigh OPEC cuts.
  • Gold β†’ Near record highs at $2,400/oz, safe-haven demand stays strong.

πŸ› Political & Geopolitical Moves

  • U.S.-China Tensions β†’ White House curbs AI chip exports; Beijing promises β€œstrong response.”
  • UK Elections β†’ PM Sunak trails in polls as Labour gains ground.
  • Middle East β†’ Israel-Gaza ceasefire holds; U.S. pushes for regional de-escalation.
  • India β†’ Modi kicks off final phase of national elections, massive voter turnout expected.

πŸ”₯ Market Themes to Watch

  • AI stocks mania β†’ Nvidia, AMD, Microsoft keep rallying as AI demand soars.
  • Fed pivot timeline β†’ Investors dialing back June/July rate cut bets.
  • Retail earnings season β†’ Watch Walmart, Target, Home Depot this week.

πŸ’‘ Quick Takeaways for Investors

βœ… Tech & AI remain market leaders.

βœ… Geopolitics = short-term risk, long-term buying opportunity.

βœ… Rate cuts likely later in 2025, not summer.

βœ… Commodities: stay nimble; gold shines, oil struggles.

πŸ“… Mark Your Calendar

  • Wednesday β†’ U.S. CPI inflation report.
  • Thursday β†’ Bank of England rate decision.
  • Friday β†’ U.S. consumer sentiment index.

βœ… Final Thought:

Markets are balancing soft-landing hopes with sticky inflation and global tensions. Stay diversified, stay patient β€” and don’t chase every AI headline.

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